Scott's Soapbox

Wednesday, October 13, 2004

Debate Prediction

Kerry wins, handily. He simply has better ammo. Deficit, jobs, health care he all enjoys 2-digit advantages on. But, he'll win big tonight, and it won't matter. For so many, this is a one-issue election- the War on Terror. Two issues, if you see Iraq separately as Kerry does and Bush does not. So while Kerry wins on the issues and also wins by relating to real people with real problems factor. Hard to meet these real people when you are already the president- easier when you are going to county fairs all across the country in the primaries.

So, Kerry wins the day, but it does not move the war much farther along.

I am back to 50-50 odds to win this election. Kerry has the momentum now, though. The battleground state polls are turning his direction. We will find out, just how negative can Karl Rove be? I speak for all Ohioans, we don't want to know. I just wanted to watch some baseball last night...I saw so many political ads it would make your head spin.

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